Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?

🤖 Context

YES if the total number of main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts made by Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X during the interval starting 12:00 PM ET on August 22, 2026 and ending 12:00 PM ET on August 24, 2026 is strictly fewer than 40, otherwise NO. Only main-feed posts, quote posts, and reposts count, replies do not. Deleted posts count only if captured by Polymarket's Post Counter. This market resolves identically to Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored event and will preferably use Polymarket's Post Counter, though contemporaneous independent reporting or archived timelines that enumerate the counted posts may also be used.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 56%, based on 27 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

56%

Predictions made

27

Credits staked

745

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 22, 2026

Closes

Aug 24, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 26, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 24, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 56% and NO 44%, based on 27 predictions and 745 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Elon Musk post fewer than 40 times on X?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.