Will a specific existing The Legend of Zelda game be named for a 40th‑anniversary remake?

95%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Aug 31This market paid yes if Elon Musk posted fewer than 40 main‑feed posts on X between 12:00 PM ET on August 27, 2026 and 12:00 PM ET on August 29, 2026, counting main‑feed posts, quote posts and reposts and excluding replies except where the tracker recorded them on the main feed. Polymarket’s Post Counter recorded Musk as posting in the 40–64 range during that window, and the mirrored Polymarket market resolved to the No side at the 12:00 PM ET cutoff on August 29, 2026. Because the tracker counted at least 40 posts, the condition “fewer than 40” was not met, so the market resolves no.
How markets are built and settled40%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Elon Musk posts fewer than 40 main‑feed posts on X between 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-27 and 12:00 PM ET on 2026-08-29. Target window: 2026-08-27 12:00 PM ET → 2026-08-29 12:00 PM ET. Observations used (supplied Polymarket state): the mirrored Polymarket event titled "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?" is marked resolved with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 — per Polymarket convention this resolves to the outcome priced 1 (No). The adjacent Polymarket range market "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?" is resolved Yes=1, No=0, indicating Polymarket counted the total in the 40–64 range. The market rule instructs to resolve identically to the mirrored Polymarket market. Therefore the condition (fewer than 40 posts) is false and this market resolves NO. Decisive observation date is the end of the counting window, 2026-08-29.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
95%
Stable · last 24h

41%
Stable · last 24h

95%
Stable · last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h

58%
Stable · last 24h

91%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy