Will the #1 show on Netflix get at least 15 million views?

48%
-13% last 24h

65%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 6The rule said the market resolves yes if Kalshi finalizes the contract KXYTVIEWSW-DRA26OCT04-14.25M with an official yes, which corresponds to Drake exceeding 14.25 million global daily YouTube views on at least one day between September 28, 2026 and October 4, 2026 inclusive. Kalshi has finalized that contract with an official yes result. Because the market’s settlement is tied to that contract and it was finalized as yes, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled65%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 65% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: The market resolves YES if Kalshi finalizes ticker KXYTVIEWSW-DRA26OCT04-14.25M with an official YES (the underlying condition: Drake has >14.25M Global daily YouTube views on at least one day during 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04). Target window: 2026-09-28 through 2026-10-04 (inclusive). Observed value(s): Supplied Kalshi data shows: 'Official status: finalized' and 'Official finalized result: YES'. Comparison: The market's rule ties settlement solely to the Kalshi ticker's finalized status; Kalshi's official finalized result is YES, so the market resolves YES.
Source: kalshi.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledDrake hitting over 14.25M daily views feels likely; his global appeal guarantees spikes. Expect at least one day to hit that mark during the timeframe.

48%
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40%
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66%
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95%
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95%
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58%
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