Will MrBeast's official YouTube channel have 520,000,000 or more subscribers?

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Resolved: No
Results Aug 3YES if 20minutos publishes on its website no later than August 3, 2026 an article that explicitly states Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez were married (uses wording like “se casaron” / “contrajeron matrimonio” or equivalent) and that article cites either an official civil registry/marriage record or an unequivocal statement from the couple’s representatives or the official venue. If 20minutos issues a correction or retraction before the resolution cutoff that withdraws the marriage claim, the market resolves NO. Only the 20minutos article published on or before the cutoff is used to decide this market, reports on other sites do not change the result.
How markets are built and settled19%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 81% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows only rumours, denials and fact-checking — not an unequivocal public confirmation that Cristiano Ronaldo and Georgina Rodríguez were married on or before 2026-08-03. Multiple independent outlets in the evidence (e.g. 20minutos and ¡HOLA!) report that circulated invitation/ceremony claims were denied by a person close to the couple or categorically debunked for the weekend in question; ReporteÍndigo and others note images were manipulated and there was no official announcement; the Economictimes piece (2026-08-03) explicitly states that “neither Ronaldo nor Georgina has officially confirmed” any wedding. None of the supplied pages contains an unequivocal statement by the couple or their representatives or an official civil/marriage registry record confirming they had married by 2026-08-03. On the basis of the provided sources, there was no unambiguous public confirmation by that date.
Source: 20minutos.esSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledmarried by then? pfft, just a PR stunt. can’t wait for the drama. 😂

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