🕹️Culture·GamingCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will a specific existing The Legend of Zelda game be named for a 40th‑anniversary remake?
95%
+1% last 24h
2151 bets · 53.7K credits67
Details →
CultureOpened Oct 21 · Results Oct 28
Will Clayface make less than $22,000,000 in its U.S. 3-day opening weekend?
39%
Stable · last 24h
📊 3 bettors💎 120 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Oct 28🤖 Context
The market hinges on whether Clayface's final, non-estimate U.S. three-day opening weekend total for October 23 to 25, 2026 is strictly less than $22,000,000. The final reported three-day domestic opening total for October 23 to 25, 2026 was not strictly less than $22,000,000. Because the final total does not fall below $22,000,000, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No39%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 61% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: the film 'Clayface' final (non-estimate) U.S. 3-day opening-weekend gross for Oct 23–25, 2026 must be strictly less than $22,000,000 for a YES. Target window: Oct 23–25, 2026. Observed data matched: the mirrored Polymarket market 'Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?' is shown as resolved/closed with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1 (i.e., resolved to NO). The contract text expressly says this market resolves identically to the mirrored Polymarket resolution; Polymarket's resolved NO therefore indicates the condition (opening weekend < $22,000,000) is false. Conclusion: NO.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 39%
- Predictions made
- 3
- Credits staked
- 120
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 21, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 23, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 28, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip, polymarket.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the current market sentiment and the recent trend in superhero films, I doubt Clayface will hit $22 million in its opening weekend. It's more likely to underperform.
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