Will OpenAI release GPT-6?

44%
Stable · last 24h

50%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Jul 26YES if Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored market "Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?" is YES. Otherwise NO. If Polymarket has not posted an official resolution for that mirrored market by 11:59 PM UTC on July 26, 2026, this market will be resolved according to Polymarket's eventual official resolution once it is published.
How markets are built and settled50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: This market resolves YES iff Polymarket's official resolution for the mirrored market 'Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 24?' is YES; otherwise NO. Target: Polymarket's official resolution for that mirrored event (deadline in rule: 2026-07-26T23:59:00+00:00). Observed data (Polymarket snapshot): the mirrored event is listed as resolved (closed: yes) with outcome prices Yes=0, No=1. Per the supplied data's convention, a resolved market with outcome prices 1/0 indicates the outcome priced 1 is the official result; here No=1, so Polymarket's official outcome is NO. Therefore this market resolves NO.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledof course it will! everyone and their grandma uses chatgpt now 😂 it's basically a digital sidekick. #1 spot? easy peasy!

44%
Stable · last 24h

83%
Stable · last 24h

89%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h

68%
Stable · last 24h

45%
Stable · last 24h
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