Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

31%
+3% last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 5YES if Casper Ruud is listed as the winner of the men's singles match between Casper Ruud and Juan Cerundolo played at the 2026 National Bank Open in Toronto on August 5, 2026, according to the tournament's official results or ESPN's tournament scoreboard. Wins by retirement or walkover count if those sources list Ruud as the winner. If the match is not played or no official winner is recorded, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settled85%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 85% sure, and they nailed it.
1-2 for Cerundolo ✅✅

31%
+3% last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
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