⚽Sports·FootballCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
31%
+3% last 24h
6915 bets · 312.6K credits150
Details →
SportsOpened Aug 22 · Results Aug 26
Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the second round of the 2026 US Open men's singles?
95%
Stable · last 24h
📊 1529 bettors💎 45.2K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 26🤖 Context
The market pays yes if official US Open/USTA results or ATP match records list Carlos Alcaraz as the winner of a first-round main-draw men’s singles match at the 2026 US Open, meaning he is shown as advancing to the second round. On August 31, 2026 Alcaraz defeated Roman Safiullin 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 in the first round of the US Open and is listed as advancing to the second round. Because official records show him as the first-round winner and advancing, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes95%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 95% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent sources report that on Aug. 31, 2026, Carlos Alcaraz defeated Roman Safiullin 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 in the first round of the US Open, advancing to the second round. This directly satisfies the question’s condition.
Source: usopen.orgKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 95%
- Predictions made
- 1,529
- Credits staked
- 45,183
- Comments
- 5
- Opened
- Aug 22, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 25, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- usopen.org, theguardian.com, atptour.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 5 comments
- 👽
Alcaraz remains the clear favorite to get through his first round. Unless there’s a physical issue, I find it hard to see him getting eliminated right away.
- ⚔️
Yes
- 💎
Yes
- 🪙
Yes!
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Alcaraz should have no problem reaching the second round. Even if he faces a tough opponent, his form suggests he'll advance, and withdrawals can only help solidify that.
Related predictions
See all →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Oct 27 · Results Oct 28
Will Jürgen Klopp still be Germany men's head coach on Oct 28?
97%
Stable · last 24h
2390 bets · 82.8K credits39
Details →🥊Sports·MMACloses Nov 1
UFC Las Vegas: Will Moicano defeat Nolan?
60%
+1% last 24h
535 bets · 18.2K credits2
Details →🏀Sports·NBACloses Oct 27
Will the Golden State Warriors beat the Denver Nuggets on October 26?
26%
Stable · last 24h
476 bets · 16.6K credits4
Details →🏀Sports·NBACloses Oct 31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers beat the Golden State Warriors on Oct 30?
64%
Stable · last 24h
464 bets · 17.8K credits3
Details →⚽Sports·FootballCloses Oct 31 · Results Nov 3
Premier League: Will Liverpool vs Arsenal on 1 November have 3 or more total goals?
77%
Stable · last 24h
362 bets · 12.1K credits4
Details →