Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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89%
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YES if the official US Open/USTA results or the ATP Tour match records list Carlos Alcaraz as the winner of a first-round main-draw men's singles match at the 2026 US Open, i.e., listed as having advanced to the second round. A walkover or opponent withdrawal that results in Alcaraz being listed as advancing counts as YES. If Alcaraz withdraws or is replaced before playing any main-draw match, the market resolves NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 25, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 26, 2026. The outcome will be settled against lequipe.fr. For now, the crowd puts YES at 89%, based on 74 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledAlcaraz should have no problem reaching the second round. Even if he faces a tough opponent, his form suggests he'll advance, and withdrawals can only help solidify that.

94%
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46%
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41%
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23%
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49%
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82%
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