Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

31%
+3% last 24h

79%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 12YES if B. Shelton is listed as the winner of the singles match between J. Mensik and B. Shelton at the National Bank Open in Toronto on August 11, 2026. A victory by retirement, walkover, or default in favor of B. Shelton counts as YES. If the match is not played between these two players or no official winner is recorded, the market resolves NO. Results will be taken from the National Bank Open official results page or the ATP/WTA official match pages, corroborated by the ESPN scoreboard or other major sports outlets.
How markets are built and settled79%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 79% sure, and they nailed it.
B. Shelton is likely to win this match against J. Mensik. Given his form and the stakes, I see a clear path to victory today.

31%
+3% last 24h

97%
Stable · last 24h

60%
+1% last 24h

63%
Stable · last 24h

26%
Stable · last 24h

76%
Stable · last 24h
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