Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

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Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 31The market pays out yes if, on or before August 30, 2026, Manchester City or Ayyoub Bouaddi’s current club publishes an official announcement naming Ayyoub Bouaddi and stating he has signed for Manchester City, or if the Premier League shows him registered for City. Manchester City's official announcement dated 26 August 2026 says the club have completed the signing of Ayyoub Bouaddi on a five year contract, subject to international clearance, and major outlets reported the same move that day. Because the club’s official announcement names Bouaddi and states the signing was completed before August 30, 2026, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled98%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 98% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources in the provided evidence unambiguously report that Ayyoub Bouaddi completed a move to Manchester City. Manchester City's official announcement states the club "have completed the signing" on a five-year contract (subject to international clearance). Major news outlets in the pool (Sky Sports and BBC, both dated 26 Aug 2026) likewise report the signing as completed; Reuters had earlier reported the club was set to sign him (23 Aug 2026). Because three or more independent reputable outlets corroborate the same concrete outcome, the market settles YES — Bouaddi signed for Manchester City on or before 2026-08-30.
Source: mancity.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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