Will players earn at least 112,000 💎 playing games on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?

70%
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78%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 6YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day no later than August 6 shows that 545 or more distinct SNCF trains had a latest reported delay of at least five minutes between local midnight and the end of August 6, based on the SNCF open-data feed (dataset 'horaires-sncf') and Clutch's archived computation. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled78%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 78% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending August 6, 2026 must show >= 545 distinct SNCF trains whose latest reported delay was at least 5 minutes. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-06 (coverage ends 2026-08-06 21:59 UTC). Observed decisive value: Clutch finalized daily total at 2026-08-06 22:00 UTC = 661 trains with latest reported delay >= 5 minutes (covers the local calendar day ending 2026-08-06 21:59 UTC). Comparison: 661 >= 545, so the market resolves YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith 614 trains delayed by 5+ minutes already today, surpassing 615 tomorrow seems highly likely. Expect more delays as we approach the end of the day.

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