Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 8?

🤖 Context

YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the France local calendar day no later than August 8 shows at least 485 distinct SNCF trains that were 5 minutes or more late between local midnight and the end of the day, counting each unique train identifier once. Otherwise NO. Resolution will be based on SNCF's official open-data real-time feed (horaires-sncf) and/or Clutch's finalized archived computation. If the SNCF feed contains no usable train identifiers, Clutch's archived deduplication will be used.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 76%, based on 65 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

76%

Predictions made

65

Credits staked

2,014

Comments

1

Opened

Aug 7, 2026

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Expected resolution

Aug 8, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Aug 8, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Aug 8, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 76% and NO 24%, based on 65 predictions and 2K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 8?” real-money betting?

No. “Will at least 485 SNCF trains be 5+ minutes late on August 8?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.