🌀OtherCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will players earn at least 112,000 💎 playing games on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
68%
Stable · last 24h
362 bets · 16.9K credits6
Details →
OtherOpened Aug 31 · Results Sep 1
Will at least 415 Renfe long-distance trains run 5+ minutes late?
46%
Stable · last 24h
📊 169 bettors💎 4K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1🤖 Context
The market required Clutch's finalized archive for the local calendar day ending on September 1, 2026 to show at least 415 distinct Renfe long-distance services whose latest reported delay was five minutes or more, counting each train once by its Renfe identifier and using Renfe's official real-time data feed. Clutch's finalized daily aggregate for that day, completed at 22:00 UTC on September 1, 2026, records 526 distinct Renfe long-distance trains with a latest reported delay of at least five minutes. Because 526 is greater than or equal to 415, the condition is met, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-09-01 must show at least 415 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay was >=5 minutes (each train counted once by Renfe train/service identifier). Target window: the local calendar day ending on 2026-09-01 (Clutch states this covers the local calendar day ending at 2026-09-01 21:59 UTC). Observed value: Clutch's finalized daily aggregate (finalized 2026-09-01 22:00 UTC) reports 526 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes for that local calendar day. Comparison: 526 >= 415, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 46%
- Predictions made
- 169
- Credits staked
- 3,976
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Aug 31, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 2, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- clutch.vip
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 9 💎
With 439 trains already reported late today, hitting at least 415 tomorrow is very likely. Renfe’s track record shows delays tend to pile up as travel picks up on the first of the month.
Related predictions
See all →🌀OtherCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will at least 34,100 bets be placed on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
53%
Stable · last 24h
312 bets · 14.8K credits3
Details →₿Other·CryptoCloses Oct 30 · Results Oct 31
Will Bitcoin be at least $80,000 on Oct 31?
79%
Stable · last 24h
292 bets · 12.9K credits4
Details →🌀OtherCloses Oct 29 · Results Oct 30
Will at least 950 new users sign up and bet on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?
31%
Stable · last 24h
273 bets · 13.2K credits4
Details →🏢Other·BusinessCloses Nov 15 · Results Nov 16
Will the cruise ship leave the port where it was suspended and resume its original international itinerary?
22%
Stable · last 24h
50 bets · 1.6K credits1
Details →🌡️Other·TemperatureCloses Oct 30 · Results Nov 2
Will the high in New York reach at least 62 °F on November 1, 2026?
38%
Stable · last 24h
11 bets · 681 credits1
Details →