Will 12 or more gift cards be claimed in the Clutch shop on September 12 (UTC)?

57%
Stable · last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h
YES if Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending no later than September 13 shows at least 350 distinct SNCF trains that were 5 or more minutes late between local midnight and the end of that day, counting each train at most once using its latest reported delay for that day and not summing delays. Otherwise NO. Resolution will use SNCF's official real-time open data feed or an equivalent official machine-readable output.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 13, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 82%, based on 67 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYESS
With 380 trains already reported late and more counting until the end of the day, I’m confident we’ll see at least 350 delays. This is practically a given now.

57%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h

85%
Stable · last 24h
92%
Stable · last 24h

77%
+5% last 24h
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