Will players earn at least 112,000 💎 playing games on Clutch on October 29 (UTC)?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 16The rule counts distinct Renfe long-distance trains in Clutch's finalized archive for the local calendar day ending August 16, 2026 and says yes if at least 240 of those trains had a latest reported delay that day of five minutes or more. Clutch's finalized daily archive for August 16, 2026 records 387 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay on that day was 5 minutes or more. Because 387 is greater than the 240 threshold, the condition is met, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled50%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 50% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Clutch's finalized archived total for the local calendar day ending on 2026-08-16 must be >= 240 distinct Renfe long-distance trains whose latest reported delay during that day was >= 5 minutes. Target day/window: local calendar day ending 2026-08-16 (finalized by Clutch at 2026-08-16 22:00 UTC; last official observation for the day 2026-08-16 21:59 UTC). Observed value (from supplied Clutch finalized daily history): 387 trains seen since local midnight whose latest reported delay was 5+ minutes (Daily total finalized by Clutch). Comparison: 387 >= 240, so the condition is satisfied. Outcome: YES.
Source: clutch.vipSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith 275 trains already reported late early in the day, hitting 240 by tomorrow is likely. Renfe's chronic delays make this a safe bet.

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