Will the #1 show on Netflix have at least 12 million views?

61%
+26% last 24h

94%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 17YES if, according to Metacritic, the numeric critic "Metascore" shown for Assassin’s Creed: Black Flag Resynced on the PlayStation 5 platform is greater than or equal to 80 on August 17, 2026. If Metacritic does not provide a PlayStation 5-specific Metascore and only shows an All Platforms Metascore, use the All Platforms Metascore, and if the page shows multiple conflicting PlayStation 5 metascores, use the metascore shown most prominently at the top of the game's PS5 Metacritic page. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settled94%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 94% sure, and they nailed it.

61%
+26% last 24h

84%
Stable · last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

67%
Stable · last 24h

30%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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