Will Mercedes be first in the constructors' standings after the Dutch GP on August 23?

94%
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41%
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YES if Arthur Fery is officially recorded as the winner of the men's singles match between Arthur Fery and Alex de Minaur at the Cincinnati Open on August 17, 2026. Wins by retirement, walkover, default, or disqualification count, and if the two named players do not play each other or the slot is filled by different players with no official winner for that pairing, the market resolves NO. The authoritative sources are the Cincinnati Open official results page or the ATP Tour match scoreboard, with ordinary coverage such as ESPN, Reuters, or the BBC acceptable as corroboration.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 17, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 17, 2026. The outcome will be settled against espn.co.uk. For now, the crowd puts YES at 41%, based on 1 prediction.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledFery's been solid lately, facing a tough opponent in de Minaur. Given the stakes today, I’d say he’s got a good shot to pull through, even if it’s tight.

94%
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30%
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69%
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45%
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20%
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45%
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