Will Ariana Grande have over 14 million daily views on any day?

65%
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YES if on or before November 13, 2026 (France local date) Microsoft/Xbox or Arkane Studio Lyon publishes an explicit, on-the-record public statement saying Arkane Studio Lyon 'will close', 'is closing', 'has ceased' or equivalent wording that clearly indicates a final, complete and definitive cessation of Arkane Studio Lyon's activities, otherwise NO. • Only explicit corporate statements count: press releases or corporate news posts on Microsoft/Xbox/Bethesda/Arkane official websites or explicit posts on the companies' verified corporate social accounts. • A sale or transfer announced on or before November 13, 2026 that names a buyer and states Arkane Studio Lyon will continue operating under that buyer counts as NO. • Source: Microsoft/Xbox or Arkane Studio Lyon corporate announcements; major outlets republishing the explicit corporate wording are also acceptable.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 12, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 13, 2026. The outcome will be settled against ign.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 40%, based on 120 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes, Arkane Lyon is seriously threatened with closure, but the closure has not yet been definitively announced. According to information reported by Le Monde, Microsoft informed employees on July 16 of a plan for total and definitive cessation of activities, putting
Given the lack of any explicit closure announcement from Microsoft or Arkane, it seems unlikely they’ll close before mid-November. Barring a last-minute declaration, I'm leaning toward NO.

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40%
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66%
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95%
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95%
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58%
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