Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26?

68%
+11% last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
Market closed. Awaiting resolution.
Results Nov 2YES if Apple lists AirPods 5 as purchasable in the United States no later than October 31, 2026. That means Apple’s U.S. product page lets you add them to cart and complete checkout, or Apple issues an official press release saying AirPods 5 are available to buy in the U.S., and corroboration from major U.S. retailers or tech outlets is acceptable. U.S. pre-orders that don’t accept payment or that ship after October 31 do not count, and availability only outside the U.S. does not satisfy the market.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Oct 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against techcrunch.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 52%, based on 358 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven Apple's track record with product releases, I expect AirPods 5 to be available by the deadline. Their marketing strategy typically aligns with such timelines.

68%
+11% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

38%
-12% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

76%
+1% last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h
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