🏢Tech·Big TechCloses Oct 26 · Results Oct 29
Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26?
62%
+6% last 24h
332 bets · 14K credits6
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TechOpened Jun 10 · Results Sep 15
Will Apple’s new Siri AI public stable version launch in September 2026?
68%
Stable · last 24h
📊 38 bettors💎 540 at stake
ResolvedNo
Resolved: No
Results Sep 15🤖 Context
The market asked whether Apple would officially release a stable, non‑beta, publicly available Siri AI feature between 1 September 2026 and 30 September 2026 inclusive. Apple released iOS 27 on September 14, 2026, which introduced the new Siri AI, but Apple said the feature was rolling out as a beta in English and media reported it required opt‑in or a waitlist. Because the rollout in September was explicitly a beta and not a stable public release, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
No68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Apple released iOS 27 on 2026-09-14, which introduced the new Siri AI, but Apple’s own newsroom (2026-09-14) explicitly states “Siri AI … is now rolling out as a beta in English.” Independent coverage corroborates this: CNBC (2026-09-14) reports the new Siri AI “is in beta” and requires opt‑in/waitlist access, and MacRumors/other outlets note users may need to sign up to get Siri AI after updating. None of the supplied sources report a stable, non‑beta, broadly publicly available Siri AI release in September 2026 — only a beta/opt‑in rollout on 2026-09-14.
Source: apple.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 68%
- Predictions made
- 38
- Credits staked
- 540
- Comments
- 0
- Opened
- Jun 10, 2026
- Closes
- Sep 1, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 15, 2026
- Outcome
- No
- Resolution source
- apple.com, cnbc.com, macrumors.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
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