Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

88%
+1% last 24h

77%
Stable · last 24h
Resolves YES if Apple publishes an Apple-owned announcement no later than September 30, 2026 that names and offers for sale or announces availability of at least one previously unannounced Apple Watch hardware model (a new model identifier or SKU, such as a new 'Series' or 'Ultra' model). Apple-owned announcements include an Apple Newsroom post, an Apple Store product page, or official event materials, and changes limited to new bands, colors, or accessories for existing watch models do not count. Outcome is determined according to Apple (Apple Newsroom or Apple Store product pages).
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 1, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Oct 1, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5mac.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 77%, based on 10 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledYes, Apple will announce at least one new Apple Watch model before the end of September. With less than two weeks to go, it’s a safe bet given their consistent release patterns.

88%
+1% last 24h

55%
Stable · last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h

60%
Stable · last 24h

48%
Stable · last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h
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