Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

64%
+8% last 24h

52%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 9The rule says the market is a yes if Apple, in its live keynote on September 9, 2026 or in official Apple press materials or Apple Store pages published that same day, introduces or lists a product whose official Apple name is exactly "AirPods 5" or "AirPods (5th generation)", or explicitly labels it "5th-generation AirPods". Apple's official Apple Newsroom press release dated September 9, 2026 is titled "AirPods 5" and repeatedly refers to the product by that exact name. Because Apple used the exact official name "AirPods 5" on September 9, 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled52%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 52% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Apple’s own press release on Apple Newsroom dated 2026-09-09 is titled and repeatedly refers to the product as “AirPods 5,” and BusinessWire’s syndication reproduces the same announcement. Independent coverage in the supplied pages (9to5Mac, MacRumors, The Verge, etc.) also report Apple’s introduction of “AirPods 5” on that date. The supplied Apple Newsroom release therefore establishes that Apple introduced/listed a product officially named exactly “AirPods 5” on 2026-09-09.
Source: apple.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledI don't see Apple naming new AirPods as '5th generation' this soon. Previous launches suggest they might stick to just 'new AirPods'.

64%
+8% last 24h

82%
+1% last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
Cookies on Clutch
We use cookies to measure how Clutch is used and to show ads. Nothing is tracked until you choose. Privacy Policy