Will Google's market share be above 19.6%?

65%
+7% last 24h

59%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 20For this market to resolve yes, at least one Google Pixel 11 SKU had to appear on an official U.S. retail channel on August 20, 2026 (US Pacific Time) as available to buy for immediate shipping or same‑day in‑store pickup. AT&T announced that general availability begins on Aug. 20, The Verge reported that preorders will ship on August 20, 2026, and Best Buy’s product pages for Pixel 11 SKUs showed pickup options like “Ready today” and “Pick up in 1 hour.” Those facts show at least one Pixel 11 SKU was available for immediate shipping or same‑day pickup on that date, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled59%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows Pixel 11 availability in the U.S. on Aug 20, 2026. AT&T's press release states “General availability begins on Aug. 20.” The Verge's coverage says preorders “will ship on August 20th, 2026.” Best Buy's product/category pages for the Pixel 11 in the evidence show listing-level pickup/shipping options such as “Pickup · Ready today” and “Pick up in 1 hour” for Pixel 11 SKUs. Those independent sources corroborate that at least one Pixel 11 SKU was available to buy in the United States for immediate shipping or same‑day in‑store pickup on 2026-08-20.
Source: bestbuy.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
65%
+7% last 24h

82%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h

75%
Stable · last 24h

39%
Stable · last 24h

40%
Stable · last 24h
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