Will Gemini reach 1 billion users before August 31, 2026?

83%
+1% last 24h

34%
Stable · last 24h
YES if, on August 20, 2026 (US Pacific Time), at least one Google Pixel 11 SKU is shown on an official U.S. retail channel as available to buy for immediate shipping or for same‑day in‑store pickup. Official U.S. retail channels include the Google Store US product page, an official Google announcement, Amazon.com, BestBuy.com, or a major U.S. carrier’s public product page. Listings that show only “pre‑order”, an earliest ship date after August 20, 2026, or invite/preview‑only access do not count.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Aug 20, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Aug 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against 9to5google.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 34%, based on 2 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven that we're just a week out and announcements are usually made close to the launch date, I’m confident the Pixel 11 will be available for purchase on August 20. Just about time for them to drop it.

83%
+1% last 24h

29%
Stable · last 24h

49%
Stable · last 24h

93%
Stable · last 24h

70%
Stable · last 24h

9%
Stable · last 24h
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