Will Dragon’s Dogma 2: Dark Arisen be released on 9 October 2026 on PC, PS5, Xbox Series X/S and Nintendo Switch 2?

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Resolved: Yes
Results Aug 12YES if at least one topic shown on Google Trends for Mexico that started trending during the UTC day August 11, 2026 and that Google tags with the subject category "Entertainment, celebrity and gaming" has a reported search-volume index strictly greater than 10,000. Google reports volumes on a fixed ladder, so values above 10,000 appear as 20,000 or higher. Exclude any trending entry that does not have a subject-category tag. Resolution source: Google Trends for Mexico.
How markets are built and settled60%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 60% sure, and they nailed it.
Given the recent patterns, it’s likely a trending topic will emerge on August 11 that exceeds 10,000 searches. Expect something to surpass even Brad Pitt.

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