Will Anthropic have the top-ranked AI model?

🤖 Context

YES if a model owned by Anthropic is ranked number 1 in the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) 'Rank' column when the table under the 'Leaderboard' tab is checked on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, otherwise NO. • The check time is October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET using the 'Leaderboard' tab on the Text Arena | Overall leaderboard. • Models marked 'AutoEval' at the check time are excluded. If models from different companies tie for rank 1, the market resolves YES for every company that owns a tied model. • Source: arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) leaderboard and the Polymarket resolution that mirrors it.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 58%, based on 122 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

58%

Predictions made

122

Credits staked

3,889

Comments

2

Opened

Oct 20, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 2, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 58% and NO 42%, based on 122 predictions and 3.9K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic have the top-ranked AI model?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic have the top-ranked AI model?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.