Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab on October 31?

🤖 Context

YES if Anthropic appears in second place in the 'Lab Rank' column on the Arena.ai Text Arena | Overall leaderboard when that leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET (observer local time), otherwise NO. • The view must be the 'Text Arena | Overall' leaderboard filtered for 'Labs' with style control OFF. • Models marked 'AutoEval' at that check time are excluded from consideration. • Source: Arena.ai, Polymarket.

How this market resolves

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against clutch.vip. For now, the crowd puts YES at 78%, based on 71 predictions.

Key facts

Crowd probability

78%

Predictions made

71

Credits staked

2,353

Comments

3

Opened

Oct 14, 2026

Closes

Oct 31, 2026

Expected resolution

Nov 2, 2026

Resolution source

clutch.vip

Frequently asked questions

When does this market resolve?

Predictions close on Oct 31, 2026, and it's expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026.

What are the current odds?

The crowd currently gives YES about 78% and NO 22%, based on 71 predictions and 2.4K 💎 staked.

How is this market settled?

It's settled against clutch.vip once the outcome is known.

Is “Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab on October 31?” real-money betting?

No. “Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab on October 31?” is a free-to-play prediction market on Clutch: you predict with in-app credits, never real money, and can win points redeemable for real-world rewards.