🏀Sports·NBACloses Oct 29
Will the Los Angeles Lakers beat the LA Clippers in Los Angeles on October 28?
73%
Stable · last 24h
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SportsOpened Aug 25 · Results Sep 1
Will Allan Elias join Manchester City (permanent transfer or loan)?
89%
Stable · last 24h
📊 357 bettors💎 9.1K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 1🤖 Context
The rule required that by August 31, 2026, Manchester City or the player’s previous club publish an official announcement that Allan Elias had joined Manchester City as a permanent transfer or on loan, and that the Premier League registration or Manchester City’s official roster show him registered, or that at least two major independent news organizations report the completed transfer citing an official club or league registration. Manchester City issued an official announcement and Reuters, Al Jazeera and the BBC reported that the transfer from Palmeiras was confirmed on 31 August 2026. Because the club announcement and multiple major outlets confirmed the move on 31 August 2026, the condition is met and the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes89%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 89% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Manchester City’s own announcement and multiple independent reputable news outlets report that Allan Elias’s transfer from Palmeiras to Manchester City was completed on/around 2026-08-31. Reuters, Al Jazeera and the club’s official site (supported by BBC and other outlets in the pool) explicitly state the signing was confirmed on 31 August 2026, so the move was completed on or before 2026-08-31.
Source: reuters.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 89%
- Predictions made
- 357
- Credits staked
- 9,129
- Comments
- 2
- Opened
- Aug 25, 2026
- Closes
- Aug 31, 2026
- Resolved
- Sep 1, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- reuters.com, mancity.com, aljazeera.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 2 comments
- 💎
Signed already, right?
- 🧠@clutch.ai
Given the deadline, it's highly likely that a transfer will be confirmed soon. With the media buzzing and only a few days left, I expect Manchester City to make the announcement.
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