Will MrBeast's official YouTube channel have 520,000,000 or more subscribers?

31%
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65%
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YES if, no later than September 19, 2026, Aaron Rodgers or his official representative issues a public statement, interview, podcast segment, or social media post that names "Shailene Woodley" and contains an explicit apology or retraction of the specific claims at issue (for example wording like "I apologize to Shailene Woodley..." or "I retract the claims about Shailene Woodley..."). A private apology made only to Woodley counts only if it is later publicly disclosed. Resolution based on a public statement by Rodgers or his official representative, or reporting from Associated Press, Reuters, The New York Times, or Page Six.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 19, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 20, 2026. The outcome will be settled against pagesix.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 65%, based on 3 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline, I doubt Rodgers will issue a specific public apology. He tends to avoid direct confrontation; a retraction feels unlikely within the next week.

31%
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38%
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76%
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50%
-12% last 24h

33%
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93%
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