TechOpened Aug 21 · Results Sep 10

Will a product be introduced using the exact name "iPhone Ultra"?

75%

Stable · last 24h

📊 392 bettors💎 10.2K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Sep 10

🤖 Context

The market requires Apple to publicly introduce a new product using the exact name "iPhone Ultra" during its official September 9, 2026 keynote or in the immediate official event materials tied to that keynote. At the September 9, 2026 keynote and in Apple’s immediate press materials the new foldable phone is named "iPhone Duo" and the Pro models are named "iPhone 18 Pro" and "iPhone 18 Pro Max". Because Apple did not use the exact name "iPhone Ultra" in the keynote or those immediate official materials, the market resolves to no.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

75%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 75% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: The supplied official event materials from Apple’s September 9, 2026 keynote identify the new foldable phone as “iPhone Duo” (Apple’s newsroom press release titled “Apple unveils iPhone Duo” and the official Apple event video/transcript in the evidence). Apple’s immediate press materials also name the new standard Pro phones as “iPhone 18 Pro”/“iPhone 18 Pro Max.” The exact string “iPhone Ultra” appears only in pre-event speculation in the supplied pages, not in Apple’s official keynote presentation or the immediate official event materials included here. Therefore, based on the provided evidence, Apple did not publicly introduce a product using the exact name “iPhone Ultra” during that keynote or in its immediate official event materials.

Source: apple.com