Will Riot Games announce it signed a sponsorship deal with Kalshi or Polymarket?

33%
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YES if Arkano is still an active contestant on the Telecinco show Supervivientes All Stars 3 (not eliminated, expelled, withdrawn, or medically evacuated) no later than 9:00 CEST on September 21, 2026, as shown in Telecinco/Mediaset programme pages, broadcasts, or widely reported recaps by Spanish TV outlets such as elDiario.es/Vertele or FormulaTV. Temporary medical observation that does not remove him from the game counts as still competing. Otherwise NO.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Sep 15, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Sep 21, 2026. The outcome will be settled against eldiario.es. For now, the crowd puts YES at 38%, based on 13 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the close deadline, I expect Arkano to remain active in the competition. Unless there's a last-minute elimination, he'll likely still be in the game on the 21st.

33%
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54%
Stable · last 24h

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Stable · last 24h

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