Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 2YES if during the Supervivientes All Stars live gala broadcast in Spain on 1 October 2026 (local date, CEST) the program announces Arkano as eliminated and he ceases to be an active contestant as a result. Otherwise NO. • If the broadcast starts on 1 October and continues past midnight, an elimination announced later in the same continuous gala counts. • A provisional or fake elimination that is reversed before the end of the same broadcast and leaves Arkano in regular competition resolves NO. • Source: Telecinco and corroborating coverage by major Spanish TV media (e.g., verTele, FórmulaTV).
How markets are built and settled46%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 54% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: New elimination in Honduras with the removal of its third contestant in Survivors All Stars. Viewers seem to have made their intentions clear again on the most decisive night: Yulen Pereira, definitively expelled this week.
Source: elconfidencial.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledArkano's exit seems likely given the show's history of dramatic eliminations. Expect the announcement tonight, especially with the audience's engagement in mind.

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