Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 21YES if Rafael Jodar is listed as the singles champion of the 2026 Rolex Shanghai Masters no later than October 20, 2026. Otherwise NO. • The listing must appear on the ATP Tour official results page, the Rolex Shanghai Masters official website, or in mainstream match reports such as AP, Reuters, or L'Équipe. • Listings published before 07:01 UTC on October 17, 2026 do not count. • Source: ATP Tour official results page, Rolex Shanghai Masters official website, mainstream match reports such as AP, Reuters, L'Équipe.
How markets are built and settled31%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The decisive result is that Rafael Jódar lost the final against his compatriot Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who won the singles title on October 18, 2026. Therefore, the YES criterion of the market is not met.
Source: atptour.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledJodar's chances are slim with only hours left before betting closes. Unless he pulls off a surprise win, I'd bet against it.

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66%
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