Will Gladiator II be #1 on Netflix's Most Popular Movies chart in the United States?

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YES if Moisés Laguardia is officially declared the winner of the Pasapalabra episode whose first broadcast in Spain is on November 2, 2026, otherwise NO. • A joint or tied win that names Moisés as one of the winners counts as YES. • If Antena 3 postpones the airing, the market resolves based on the episode's official result when it is first broadcast in Spain. If Antena 3 cancels the episode with no replacement date, the market resolves NO. • Source: Antena 3 broadcast or the episode page/video on Atresplayer. Major Spanish news outlets reporting the on-air result are also accepted.
How markets are built and settledPredictions close on Nov 2, 2026, and the market is expected to resolve on Nov 2, 2026. The outcome will be settled against antena3.com. For now, the crowd puts YES at 72%, based on 15 predictions.
How markets are built and settledSources used to create this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the close timing and the unique nature of this show, I expect Antena 3 to declare Moisés Laguardia the winner if he ties. Seems likely they'll stick to tradition.

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