Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Oct 12The market pays yes if the official Ligue 1 table lists Marseille in 16th, 17th, or 18th place at 9:00 AM on October 12, 2026 (UTC+2). The official Ligue 1 table published at that instant shows Marseille in 13th place with 6 points from 6 matches, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses. Because 13th is not 16th, 17th or 18th, the condition is not met, so the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled41%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 59% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Marseille must be listed in position 16, 17, or 18 on 2026-10-12T09:00:00+02:00 (this instant = 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC). Observations: the supplied official table was read at 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC and is explicitly stated to be the table as it stood at that instant. That table lists Marseille at position 13 (6 points, P6 W2 D0 L4). Comparison: position 13 is not one of 16, 17, or 18, so the condition is not met → NO.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
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