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SportsOpened Oct 3 · Results Oct 11
Ligue 1: will at least one penalty be awarded in any match from 9 to 11 October?
84%
Stable · last 24h
📊 553 bettors💎 23.5K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 11🤖 Context
The market asked whether any official match report for the nine Ligue 1 fixtures scheduled from 9 to 11 October 2026 records at least one penalty awarded during play, including stoppage time. Four matches recorded penalties, five in total: AS Monaco vs Toulouse (1), Brest vs Angers (1), Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans (2), and Troyes vs Marseille (1). Because at least one match in that window had a penalty awarded during play, the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes84%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 84% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: At least one penalty kick awarded during play (including stoppage time) in any of the nine Ligue 1 fixtures scheduled from 2026-10-09 to 2026-10-11 (penalty shootouts do not count). Target window: 2026-10-09 through 2026-10-11 inclusive. Observations (supplied data): Complete set of 9 fixtures listed; aggregated count 'Penalties awarded: 5'. Per-match breakdown shows penalties in: AS Monaco vs Toulouse (1), Brest vs Angers (1), Paris Saint-Germain vs Le Mans (2), Troyes vs Marseille (1). Comparison: at least one match in the window recorded >=1 penalty, so the market resolves YES.
Source: espn.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 84%
- Predictions made
- 553
- Credits staked
- 23,536
- Comments
- 4
- Opened
- Oct 3, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 9, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 11, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- espn.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 4 comments
- 🚀
There are always at least 2 penalties per matchday in all the major leagues.
- 🐼
That's how it is
- 🐼
I think the tension will rise and therefore the penalty rate will increase.
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet No· 50 💎
Given the low penalty rate in Ligue 1, it's unlikely we'll see one awarded in these fixtures. Recent stats show just 1 in 18 matches had a penalty, so I'm betting on NO.
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