Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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68%
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Resolved: No
Results Oct 19The rule required the official Liga MX standings published at 9:00 AM on October 19, 2026 (UTC−6) to show Querétaro ranked 1st through 4th for a yes. The table published at that time lists Querétaro in 6th place with 20 points from 11 matches, record 6 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses. Because 6th is outside the top four, the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled68%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 68% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Extracted condition: Querétaro must be ranked 1st–4th in the official Liga MX standings published at 2026-10-19T09:00:00-06:00 (i.e. 2026-10-19T15:00:00Z). Matched observation: the supplied table (read at 2026-10-19 15:01 UTC) is explicitly stated to be the table as it stood at 2026-10-19 15:00 UTC (the snapshot instant). That table lists Querétaro at position 6 (Pts 20, P 11, W 6, D 2, L 3). Comparison: position 6 is not within 1–4, therefore the market resolves NO.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledQuerétaro is currently sitting comfortably in 3rd place with a solid track record. Given their recent form and upcoming matches, they have a strong chance to stay in the top four.

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