Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 21The market resolves by looking at the official Liga MX standings published at 9:00 AM Central Time (UTC−6) on September 21, 2026 and checking whether América appears above Guadalajara. The standings published at that snapshot show Guadalajara in 2nd place with 18 points and América in 3rd place with 17 points. Because Guadalajara is above América in the published table, the condition is not met and the outcome is no.
How markets are built and settled38%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 62% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Extracted condition: Check the Liga MX standings as published at 2026-09-21T09:00:00-06:00 (which is 2026-09-21T15:00:00Z) and resolve YES if América appears above Guadalajara there. Observations: the supplied league table (read at 2026-09-21 15:01 UTC) explicitly states no fixture was played between the snapshot instant (2026-09-21 15:00 UTC) and the read, so the table shown is the table at the snapshot. That table lists Guadalajara at position #2 with 18 pts and América at position #3 with 17 pts. Comparison: Guadalajara is ranked above América at the snapshot, so the condition (América above Guadalajara) is not met. Outcome: NO.
Source: espn.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven América's current form and their recent performance, they are likely to surpass Guadalajara in the standings. The gap in points means they have a solid chance to move up.

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