Will Max Verstappen win the US Grand Prix in Austin on October 25?

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Resolved: No
Results Sep 25This market asks whether any match at the Laver Cup in London on 25 September 2026 is officially recorded as ending because a player retired after play had started. Official match records for that day list four completed matches with full scorelines: Ruud d. Cerundolo 6-7(4), 6-4, 10-8, Nakashima d. Mensik 6-1, 3-6, 10-7, Jodar d. Bublik 6-2, 6-3, and Alcaraz/Mensik d. Bublik/Fritz 6-4, 6-4. None of those reports shows a retirement after play began, so the condition was not met and the market resolves to no.
How markets are built and settled17%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, credible sources reporting the Day 1 (25 Sep 2026) Laver Cup sessions show four completed matches with full scorelines and make no mention of any player retiring after play had started. The official Laver Cup scores page lists the four Day 1 results; the ATP Tour live/results and news pages report the same completed scorelines (Ruud d. Cerundolo 6-7(4), 6-4, 10-8; Nakashima d. Mensik 6-1, 3-6, 10-7; Jodar d. Bublik 6-2, 6-3; Alcaraz/Mensik d. Bublik/Fritz 6-4, 6-4). An AP report (republished) likewise describes the matches and outcomes without any retirement. Because these independent outlets consistently report completed matches and no retirements, the correct resolution is NO.
Source: lavercup.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled
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