EntertainmentOpened Sep 14 · Results Sep 21

La Granja VIP: Will Rafael Mercadante still be competing on September 21?

83%

Stable · last 24h

📊 413 bettors💎 7.8K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 21

🤖 Context

The rule says Rafael Mercadante is an active contestant if he has not been eliminated, withdrawn, or expelled by 11:59 PM Mexico City time on 21 September 2026. ADN40 reported he was saved by the public on 13 September, and TV Azteca’s official La Granja VIP site together with Infobae’s coverage of the 20 September gala show María Karunna eliminated on 20 September while listing Rafael Mercadante as still in the cast. Because those official and mainstream reports keep him listed and report no elimination, withdrawal, or expulsion before 21 September 2026 at 11:59 PM Mexico City time, the market resolves yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

83%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 83% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple supplied sources show Rafael Mercadante remained in the competition after the early eliminations. ADN40 (13 Sep 2026) reports Mercadante was saved by the public in the first gala. TV Azteca’s site (official, re-fetched) and Infobae’s post-elimination coverage (reporting the 20 Sep 2026 gala) state that María Karunna was the second eliminated on 20 Sep and that Pablo Montero entered; Infobae’s post‑elimination roster explicitly lists Rafael Mercadante as an active contestant. None of the supplied pages report Rafael being eliminated, withdrawn, or expelled by 21 Sep 2026, so he was still an active contestant as of 2026-09-21 23:59 (Mexico City).

Source: infobae.com