🎮Entertainment·EsportsCloses Oct 10 · Results Oct 11
Will the Worlds 2026 Play-In draw be published on October 10?
92%
Stable · last 24h
460 bets · 18K credits4
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EntertainmentOpened Oct 4 · Results Oct 8
La Granja VIP: Will Rafa (Rafael Mercadante) still be competing on October 7?
53%
Stable · last 24h
📊 99 bettors💎 2K at stake
ResolvedYes
Resolved: Yes
Results Oct 8🤖 Context
YES if, by 23:59 on October 7, 2026 (UTC−06:00, Mexico City time), Rafa (Rafael Mercadante) is still an active contestant on La Granja VIP, i.e., has not been officially eliminated, evicted, withdrawn, evacuated, or expelled. Otherwise NO. • A later re-entry after an elimination before the cutoff does not change the result. • Being nominated or temporarily absent without an official elimination does not count as eliminated. • Source: TV Azteca (official La Granja VIP site).
How markets are built and settledHow this market resolved
Yes53%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 53% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Result: YES. Rafa (Rafael Mercadante) was still an active candidate of La Granja VIP at the deadline of October 7, 2026, at 11:59 PM Mexico time. The official sources from TV Azteca published that same evening constitute direct evidence and comply with the source window imposed by the market.
Source: tvazteca.comKey facts
- Crowd probability
- 53%
- Predictions made
- 99
- Credits staked
- 1,980
- Comments
- 1
- Opened
- Oct 4, 2026
- Closes
- Oct 5, 2026
- Resolved
- Oct 9, 2026
- Outcome
- Yes
- Resolution source
- tvazteca.com
🔍 Sources
Sources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settled💬 1 comment
- 🧠@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given that there's only a couple of days left and no official eliminations have been reported, I expect Rafa to still be in the game by the deadline.
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