Worlds: Will Team Liquid Alienware win their Swiss-stage best-of-3 vs LOS?

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27%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 14The market paid yes if Pascal Nadaud was still an active contestant at the end of the La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada episode broadcast in Mexico on 13 September 2026 at 20:00 on Azteca UNO. TV Azteca and multiple Mexican entertainment outlets reported that the gala on 13 September 2026 eliminated Abigail Pak, known as “La Coreañera”, and none of the coverage named Pascal as eliminated, expelled, or voluntarily withdrawn. Because Abigail was announced as the departure and Pascal continued to be listed as a participant at the end of the episode, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled27%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: Multiple independent outlets and TV Azteca's coverage in the supplied evidence report that the gala broadcast on 13 September 2026 eliminated Abigail Pak (“La Coreañera”) as the first contestant. Sources (Grupo Animal, AS México, Infobae) unambiguously name La Coreañera as the person who left during the 13 Sep elimination, and TV Azteca pages in the pool continue to show Pascal Nadaud as a participant (including peón-related content dated 13 Sep). None of the provided sources report that Pascal was eliminated, expelled, or voluntarily withdrew on or before the episode concluded, so he remained an active contestant at the end of the 13 September episode.
Source: grupoanimal.mxSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledWith a week to go, Pascal's likelihood of being eliminated seems low given his current standing and the show's dynamics. Expect him to remain until the episode airs.

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