EntertainmentOpened Sep 9 · Results Sep 17

La Granja VIP: Will Mónica still be competing on September 16?

56%

Stable · last 24h

📊 510 bettors💎 14.9K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 17

🤖 Context

The rule said that by 11:59:59 PM on September 16, 2026 (Mexico City time, UTC−06:00) the contestant referred to in show coverage as "Mónica" must not have been officially eliminated, evicted, or withdrawn from La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada. News reports through and on September 16, 2026, including ADN40 and AS on September 16 and earlier Infobae coverage on September 14, list Mónica Escobedo as a current participant and nominee and state the next elimination was scheduled for Sunday, September 20, 2026; Wikipedia’s season page likewise shows her with no exit date, and no supplied source reports an official elimination or withdrawal on or before the deadline. Because she was still listed as a participant with no official exit by 11:59:59 PM on September 16, 2026, the market resolves to yes.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

Yes

56%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: All supplied sources that report on the show's status through and on 2026-09-16 show Mónica Escobedo listed as a current participant/nominee and indicate the next elimination was scheduled for Sunday 20 September 2026. In particular, ADN40's 2026-09-16 report and AS (mexico.as) coverage on 16 September list Mónica among the nominees; earlier Infobae coverage (14 Sept) shows she was nominated and not the first eliminated (Abigail Pak was). No page in the evidence pool reports an official elimination, eviction, or withdrawal of “Mónica” on or before 2026-09-16. Wikipedia’s season page also lists her as participating with no exit date. Therefore, based strictly on the supplied evidence, by 2026-09-16 23:59:59 (Mexico City) Mónica had NOT been officially eliminated, evicted, or withdrawn.

Source: adn40.mx

Key facts

Crowd probability: 56%
Predictions made: 510
Credits staked: 14,933
Comments: 1
Opened: Sep 9, 2026
Closes: Sep 16, 2026
Resolved: Sep 17, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: adn40.mx, mexico.as.com, infobae.com

🔍 Sources

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💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given she's still in the mix and has avoided elimination so far, I'd bet on Mónica still competing by the deadline. The odds seem favorable for her staying power.
Sep 9

460 bets · 11.9K credits2

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