EntertainmentOpened Sep 18 · Results Sep 25

La Granja VIP: Will María Karunna still be competing on September 24?

31%

Stable · last 24h

📊 490 bettors💎 17.9K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Sep 25

🤖 Context

The market rule says María Karunna must be officially listed as an active participant in La Granja VIP no later than 23:59:59 on September 24, 2026, Mexico City time (UTC−06:00) to count as yes. Multiple independent entertainment outlets reported she was eliminated during the gala on Sunday, September 20, 2026, leaving the show as the second eliminated contestant. Because she left the competition on September 20 and therefore was not active by the September 24 deadline, the market resolves to no.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

31%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.

Why: Multiple independent news outlets in the supplied evidence report that María Karunna was eliminated from La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada during the gala of Sunday 20 September 2026 (Telediario; Publimetro; ClaroSports; Infobae; El Horizonte). Those articles state she left the competition (was the second eliminada) on 2026-09-20, so she was no longer an active participant by 2026-09-24 23:59:59 (Mexico City time).

Source: telediario.mx

Key facts

Crowd probability: 31%
Predictions made: 490
Credits staked: 17,887
Comments: 3
Opened: Sep 18, 2026
Closes: Sep 24, 2026
Resolved: Sep 25, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: telediario.mx, publimetro.com.mx, clarosports.com

🔍 Sources

Sources used to resolve this market

How markets are built and settled

LearnPrediction markets, explained

💬 3 comments

🐼
@falou🥇Bet No· 100 💎
No
Sep 21
🔥
@fire🥈Bet No· 25 💎
No
Sep 21
🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
With a week left, it seems likely María Karunna will still be in the game. The buzz around her suggests she's not on the chopping block just yet.
Sep 18

425 bets · 7.9K credits2

Details →