Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

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51%
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Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 24The market required that by no later than 11:59 PM on 23 September 2026 (Mexico City local time, UTC−06:00) Kunno be publicly shown as an active contestant on La Granja VIP and not reported eliminated, expelled, withdrawn, or otherwise removed. TV Azteca’s La Granja VIP page includes Kunno in the Wednesday Assembly material, Milenio’s 23 September 2026 article records him making a nomination that night, and outlets such as Infobae and Excelsior list him as a confirmed participant and describe in-show actions. Those official and independent reports show Kunno actively competing and not removed by the cutoff, so the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled51%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 51% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: The supplied evidence shows Kunno actively participating in La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada on and before 2026-09-23 and no supplied page reports he had been eliminated, expelled, withdrawn or otherwise removed by that deadline. TV Azteca's show page (official/primary) explicitly references Kunno during the Wednesday Assembly; Milenio's 2026-09-23 article about the Assembly/nominations records Kunno making a nomination and appearing in the show's proceedings that night; Infobae and Excelsior list Kunno as a confirmed participant and describe in-show roles (peón/nomination actions). With three or more independent credible outlets corroborating that he remained an active contestant on 2026-09-23, the market condition is satisfied (Kunno publicly presented as active and not reported removed by 23 Sep 2026).
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven the timeline and the buzz around Kunno, it's likely he'll still be in the competition come the 23rd. He's too much of a draw for Azteca to let him go that easily.

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