Will the Worlds 2026 Play-In draw be published on October 10?

92%
Stable · last 24h

56%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 28The market resolves yes if, by the end of the La Gala broadcast on Sunday, September 27, 2026, Kenny Avilés is confirmed as an active contestant and is not announced eliminated, evicted, expelled, or as having voluntarily withdrawn, and an elimination immediately followed by a save in the same episode still counts as active. The third Elimination Gala aired on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 20:00 CT on Azteca UNO, and the episode showed the save order with La Bebeshita saved first, Manelyk second, Kenny Avilés returned to the game, and Carlos Trejo announced as the third eliminated. Because the broadcast showed Kenny being saved and Carlos Trejo eliminated, Kenny remained an active contestant at the episode's end, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled56%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 56% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: - Premise (TV Azteca official site): The third Elimination Gala of La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada aired on Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 20:00 (CT) on Azteca UNO, would last three hours, and would reveal the third eliminated among the nominees: “La Bebeshita”, Manelyk, Kenny Avilés, Carlos Trejo, and Julio Camejo (source). - Premise (Milenio): In that gala, the saved order included ‘La Bebeshita’ first, Manelyk second, and “Kenny Aviles vuelve al juego”; the final decision was between Carlos Trejo and Julio Camejo, and “Carlos Trejo se convirtió en el tercer eliminado de La Granja VIP 2” (source). - Premise (Revista Fama): Confirms the same gala outcome: Manelyk first saved, Kenny second to return to the granja, and the third eliminated was Carlos Trejo (source). - Inference: If the 27 Sep 2026 gala eliminated Carlos Trejo and explicitly showed Kenny Avilés returning/saved, then by the end of that broadcast Kenny was not eliminated, evicted, expelled, or withdrawn and remained an active contestant. - Conclusion: Kenny Avilés was an active contestant at the end of the 27 Sep 2026 Elimination Gala.
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledKenny will likely still be in the competition by the end of the gala. With just a few days left, the odds favor her staying active, unless something unexpected happens.

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