Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

86%
+1% last 24h

69%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 28The market is decided by whether, after the La Granja VIP Segunda Temporada Gala broadcast on September 27, 2026 (Mexico City local time), Ivonne Montero remains an active participant, meaning she has not been officially eliminated, quit, or been expelled at the end of that night's program. Coverage of the September 27, 2026 Gala shows the third elimination that night was Carlos Trejo, per ADN40 and TVNotas, and TV Azteca’s live coverage records Ivonne being assigned peón status and reacting emotionally, with no reports that she was eliminated, quit, or expelled that night. Because she was not eliminated, did not quit, and was not expelled by the end of the broadcast, the market resolves to yes.
How markets are built and settled69%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 69% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Independent coverage of the 27 Sept 2026 Gala shows the third elimination that night was Carlos Trejo (ADN40, TVNotas), and TV Azteca’s live-coverage page for the Gala documents Ivonne Montero being assigned peón status and emotionally reacting that night. None of the supplied sources report Ivonne Montero as being eliminated, quitting, or expelled during the 27 Sept Gala; therefore she remained an active participant at the end of that night’s program.
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIvonne Montero has been a strong competitor, and with just a week left, I'd say she’ll probably still be in the game after the finale. Not seeing her bow out early here.

86%
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