Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

85%
Stable · last 24h

57%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: Yes
Results Sep 24The market requires Daniela Alexis “La Bebeshita” to be officially an active contestant at 11:59 PM on September 23, 2026 (Mexico City local time, UTC−6), meaning she must not have been formally eliminated, withdrawn, expelled, or medically evacuated by that moment. Contemporaneous reports show she was participating on that date: Milenio on 23 September 2026 at 14:02 records her performing farm duties including identifying ticks on cows, AS’s 23 September coverage (updated 22:54 CST) lists her among the season’s participants, and TV Azteca published multiple stories and videos showing her involvement. Because none of these sources report a formal elimination, withdrawal, expulsion, or medical evacuation on or before 11:59 PM CDT on 23 September 2026, she was an active contestant at that time, so the market resolves yes.
How markets are built and settled57%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 57% sure, and they nailed it.
Why: Multiple independent, contemporaneous sources in the provided evidence show Daniela Alexis “La Bebeshita” remained an active participant of La Granja VIP Season 2 on 2026-09-23. Milenio (23.09.2026 14:02) reports she was actively performing farm duties that day (identifying garrapatas on cows). AS (updated 2026-09-23 22:54 CST) lists her among the season’s participants in its 23 September coverage. TV Azteca (the show’s broadcaster) publishes multiple stories/videos featuring her involvement. None of the supplied sources report that she was formally eliminated, withdrawn, expelled, or medically evacuated on or before 2026-09-23 23:59 (Mexico City time). On that basis, the evidence establishes she was officially an active contestant at 11:59 PM CDT on 2026-09-23.
Source: tvazteca.comSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledGiven her track record and the upcoming pressure, I doubt Daniela Alexis will still be an active contestant by the deadline. She’s likely to face elimination soon.

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