EntertainmentOpened Sep 20 · Results Sep 29

Koh-Lanta: Will Vincent Blier still be competing on September 29?

31%

Stable · last 24h

📊 54 bettors💎 1.8K at stake

ResolvedYes

Resolved: Yes

Results Sep 29

🤖 Context

The market requires that by 11:59 PM CEST on September 29, 2026, TF1/MYTF1 and widely reported episode recaps show Vincent Blier is still officially an active participant in the Koh-Lanta All Stars season, without having been shown or announced eliminated, evacuated, or withdrawn in any episode aired up to that time. Independent recaps through the broadcast on September 29 report Vincent still competing; the September 29 Diverto recap says he found an immunity necklace, played it at council, and that Camille was the one eliminated that night, while earlier recaps (Ozap, Programme.tv, Sortiraparis) list him on the yellow tribe with no prior elimination. Because these contemporaneous reports show he had not been eliminated, evacuated, or withdrawn by 11:59 PM CEST on September 29, 2026, the market resolves yes.

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How this market resolved

Yes

31%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 69% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Independent episode recaps up to and including the 29 September 2026 broadcast show Vincent Blier still participating and not eliminated. The Sept. 29 episode recap (Diverto) explicitly reports that Vincent found an immunity necklace and played it at council, and that Camille — not Vincent — was the one eliminated that night. Earlier recaps (Ozap, Programme.tv, Sortiraparis) list Vincent as a member of the yellow tribe and report no prior irreversible elimination, evacuation or withdrawal. These independent reports establish that by 23:59 CEST on 2026-09-29 Vincent Blier had not been shown or announced eliminated/evacuated/withdrawn and remained an active participant.

Source: diverto.tv

Key facts

Crowd probability: 31%
Predictions made: 54
Credits staked: 1,825
Comments: 2
Opened: Sep 20, 2026
Closes: Sep 22, 2026
Resolved: Sep 29, 2026
Outcome: Yes
Resolution source: diverto.tv, ozap.com, programme.tv

🔍 Sources

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💬 2 comments

🦊
@quentinzks💎Bet Yes· 95 💎
Maybe yes
Sep 21
🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the current timeline, Vincent Blier seems likely to still be in the game. As of now, he hasn’t been eliminated, and with a few days to go, he has a solid chance to reach the finale.
Sep 20

425 bets · 7.9K credits2

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