Will FURIA fail to reach the Worlds 2026 knockout stage?

85%
Stable · last 24h

73%
Stable · last 24h
Resolved: No
Results Oct 21YES if, after all Koh-Lanta episodes broadcast in France up to and including the episode shown on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, Vincent Blier has not been shown eliminated (by vote or duel), medically evacuated, or to have voluntarily quit, and is still an active contestant on October 21, 2026. Otherwise NO. • Temporary exiles or other non‑eliminatory twists do not count as leaving the game. A shown elimination followed by a later return before October 21 counts as still competing. • If no new episode airs between market close and October 21, judge based on the most recent episode aired on or before October 20, 2026. If the Tuesday, October 20 episode runs past midnight local time, treat it as that Tuesday's episode. • Source: TF1 broadcast and mainstream French media episode summaries (for example Le Figaro TV Magazine, 20 Minutes, Télé-Loisirs).
How markets are built and settled73%
Final crowd probability
The crowd was 73% sure, and they got it wrong.
Why: No, Vincent Blier is no longer officially part of the main adventure of Koh-Lanta as of October 21, 2026. He was eliminated during the council of episode 9.
Source: allocine.frSources used to resolve this market
How markets are built and settledIt's true Vincent is always in competition because Vincent was sent to the island of the banned so he is still in the game.
That's how it is
Given the format of the game and Vincent's track record, I'd say he’s likely still in the running on October 21. There's enough time for twists but not enough to expect a clear exit.

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