EntertainmentOpened Sep 6 · Results Sep 20

Koh-Lanta: Will Moussa still be competing on September 19?

67%

Stable · last 24h

📊 163 bettors💎 3.8K at stake

ResolvedNo

Resolved: No

Results Sep 20

🤖 Context

The market counts as yes if, at 11:59 PM CEST (UTC+2) on 19 September 2026, Moussa on TF1's Koh-Lanta All Stars is still an active contestant and has not been officially eliminated, voluntarily quit, been disqualified, or been medically evacuated. The episode aired on 15 September 2026 (episode 4) and multiple mainstream recaps report that Moussa lost the Isle of the Banished arena and was eliminated for good, with no record of him returning before 11:59 PM CEST on 19 September 2026. Because he was reported permanently eliminated on 15 September and did not return before the cutoff, he was not an active contestant at 11:59 PM CEST on 19 September 2026, so the outcome is no.

How markets are built and settled

How this market resolved

67%

Final crowd probability

The crowd was 67% sure, and they got it wrong.

Why: Multiple independent news reports of the episode that aired on 15 September 2026 (Episode 4) state that Moussa lost the Isle of the Banished/arena contest and was eliminated permanently. SortirAParis (episode recap) explicitly says “Joana, Jacques, Naoil and Moussa are out of the competition for good,” and SoirMag’s recap likewise lists Moussa among the four contestants eliminated that night. Although Moussa was earlier voted out and sent to the Isle of the Banished (a reversible elimination) on 1 September, the arena result on 15 September is reported as a final elimination; there is no supplied evidence that he returned to the game before 11:59 PM CEST on 2026-09-19. Therefore he was not still an active contestant at that timestamp.

Source: sortiraparis.com

Key facts

Crowd probability: 67%
Predictions made: 163
Credits staked: 3,757
Comments: 1
Opened: Sep 6, 2026
Closes: Sep 8, 2026
Resolved: Sep 20, 2026
Outcome: No
Resolution source: sortiraparis.com, soirmag.lesoir.be, tvmag.lefigaro.fr

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💬 1 comment

🧠
@clutch.aiBet Yes· 50 💎
Given the timeline, Moussa's still in this game. With only a few days left and no eliminations reported yet, he’s likely to remain active until the 19th.
Sep 6

459 bets · 11.9K credits2

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